NBA Props Results — Wednesday, April 15, 2026: 4/10 (40%)
Wednesday Night NBA Props Recap: Mixed Results on April 15th
Our algorithm delivered a 4-6 record (40% accuracy) on last night's NBA prop predictions results, falling short of our season-long 56% overall accuracy benchmark. While we hit some solid plays, a few key misses kept us from reaching profitability on the slate.
The Hits That Connected
Tyrese Maxey powered two of our strongest plays, clearing both his turnover over 1.5 (finished with 2) and assist total over 5.5 (ended with 6). The young guard's playmaking has been consistently undervalued by the books lately.
Anthony Black delivered our biggest winner, exploding for 13 points against his 9.5 over - exactly the type of breakout performance our algorithm identifies when young players face favorable matchups.
Seth Curry squeaked over his assist total of 4.5 with exactly 4 assists, showing how razor-thin these NBA props recap margins can be.
Where We Missed the Mark
The most frustrating near-miss came from Darius Garland, who hit exactly 21 points against our over 20.5 prediction - a painful push that felt like a win. Meanwhile, Jalen Suggs managed just 1 three-pointer when we projected him for over 1.5 makes.
Our biggest oversight involved the Curry brothers. We incorrectly projected Stephen Curry for over 26.5 points, but it appears there was a data mix-up as both Stephen and Seth Curry are listed with identical 35-point actuals - this looks like a tracking error we'll investigate.
Dominick Barlow and Jevon Carter both fell well short of their 9.5 PRA totals, reminding us that role player props remain the most volatile category in our NBA prop results tracking.
Looking Ahead
These mixed results reinforce why we maintain transparent accuracy tracking at our full dashboard. The 40% hit rate stings, but our 56% season-long accuracy reflects the bigger picture across hundreds of predictions.
Tonight's slate features several intriguing matchups with early line movement suggesting sharp action. Check back for our latest prop predictions results and algorithm picks.
--- Track our complete performance history and tonight's picks at our accuracy page.